Will the PS3 EVER reach 40 million?

[Staude]

Super.Gnome said:
I dont get why people expect the PS3 to increase in sales dramatically. Many of you have said things in this thread that would lead someone to believe the PS3 will sell 14-18 million or more by the end of the 2009 calander year.

For that to be the case the yearly sales would have to have an increase of ~30-40% over 2008. Given what the Gamecube did, that seems silly. Going by trends we've seen in the past, the sales for the PS3 should actually begin to level off, or even decline slightly. A price cut wont fix this, a price cut wont turn ~9m a year into 15m a year.

These predictions for 35 million by the end of 09, and of 40 million by Q2 2010, are generous -- borderline silly. More likely then not, I would think the PS3 will have 27-28m by end of this year, and 35 million by end of 2010. I exepct it to hit 40m in mid 2011.

The gamecube wasnt outselling or close to, any of it's competitors. You can't compare the ps3 with the gamecube. Especially because of the difference in price and the fact that the ps3 is much more widely recognized.