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yushire said:
Nick Laurence said:


- Price drop to 199
- Mario Galaxy pack-in
- MotionPlus pack-in

 

If that happens Wiis will be in 100 million even not in the end of the year not including the christmas season and Ninty was sold out of the Wii in time for the christmas season.

 

 

Unlikely. The problem with Wii sales to date has not been price or value, but availability. At current manufacturing rates Nintendo could drop the price to $20 and include a coupon for a free hand job, but they still won't sell any faster.

If I remember rightly, Nintendo was making about 2.4m Wii's per year, and they are still selling out in the US. That means, at most, they can sell 25 million Wiis next year, bringing them to 70m.

Of course none of us expects the manufacturing rate to stay the same (and it may have increased late this year as well), but they simply can't ramp up production to 5m a month. At most, I would guess, would be 3m, and that'll take a few months to do, so really you're looking at maybe an extra 0.6 consoles a month or so for the latter part of the year (April at the earliest). Increased manufacturing will likely net them only another 3-5 m.