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in the sales data for the week ending 27th Dec, i would say Wii sales may be somewhere between 1.5 - 2 million (due to final christmas rush and boxing day sales)

that would leave about 4.2 - 4.5 million to be sold in the last 14 weeks of the financial year.

meaning 300 - 322 thousand is the weekly average needed to reach 50 million.

now the weekly average this year (outside of the holiday period) has been around the 300-350 thousand mark.

so it would seem likely that it will make 50 million.

however with sales being so high in the holiday period, it's possible that popularity and demand for the Wii may increase. sales could hit an average of 400k.

Nintendo's target is 52 million. and they'll ship that many. i would say actual sales could be around 50.9 to 51.4 million.