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MontanaHatchet said:
How is that "really bad?"

They were made this month. Obviously the PS3 prediction isn't "really bad." I was referring to the Wii and Xbox 360 predictions.

Xbox 360 had already sold 24 million by the beginning of the month. So the prediction is 100% off.

Wii had sold over 39 million and was selling over 1 million a week and the weekly sales were increasing. This implies at least 45 million by the end of the year. So there is at least a 50% error in the prediction.

The PS3 prediction is within the acceptable range, but we can see now that it is low.

Of course, all three predictions would have been acceptable if they were made a few months ago. But they weren't.



Systems owned: Nintendo 64, GameCube, Xbox 360, Atari 7800, Genesis, PlayStation, Dreamcast, Game Boy Advance, Nintendo DS.

Year-end predictions (April 6, 2008):

  • DS: 94 million (96.0)
  • Wii: 46 million (44.4)
  • PSP: 45 million (43.6)
  • X360: 27 million (27.3)
  • PS3: 24 million (19.4)
  • PS2: 124 million (123.7)