So end of 2009?

[TWRoO]

Kantor said:

Showertea said:
Anyone who puts Nintendo at less than 70 mill. is deluding themselves. The system's been growing YOY and it's on track to sell 25 mill in '08, putting it at 45 mill. So if it sells as well in 2009 as it did in 2008, it'll hit 70 mill exactly.

My estimates in the form of absolute lowest possible - my estimate - absolute highest possible.
Wii: 70- 76.5- 85
360: 33- 35.3- 40
PS3: 23- 27.2- 32
My estimates are based on rough estimations of sales. My minimums are low for the 360 and the PS3 because there's a small chance that one or the other just stops selling, even though it's very unlikely.

What? You think it can sell 4 million in one year? That is less than 77k a week. That is downright ridiculous. Why would it stop selling? 2009 has the best PS3 lineup of any year so far, there will probably be a price cut, and for god's sake, it has GT5.

That's like saying the Wii will stop selling.

Oh, same for the 360. What you've put for minimum for 360 I would put as my estimate for PS3.

He explained his low estimates as being the possibility one of them bombs next year, a-la dreamcast early death.

To be honest it is not much more idiotic than anyone predicting under 70 million for the Wii.

Personally, using a similar format to his, I don't think the failure of either of the HD consoles would be so dramatic, even if they do crumple to be discontinued in 2010 they should still sell a decent 5-6 million for 2009. So:
(numbers in millions)

Console	Minimum	Expected range	Maximum
Wii	70	75-78	82
X360	34m	37-38	42
PS3	25m	30-31	33