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Kantor said:
I don't think Nintendo will do as well next gen as they did this gen.

Let's look at Sony. They were on top of the world with the PS2. A lead of 100 million units over the Xbox and GameCube. It has sold almost 3x what its competitors have sold combined. It was profitable, and due to sheer userbase, it got both third party support and software sales.

Then came the PS3. Third place, several million units behind its competitors, expensive and sold at a loss. Third party support disappearing.

What's to say Nintendo won't go the same way? What's to say they won't get as complacent as Sony?

And Sony are going to learn from their mistakes. Pushing new technology is a bad idea. Accessibility, low price, good games, these sell consoles.

 

The reason I would say that it is unlikely for Nintendo to fall in a similar way to how Sony fell is because there were signs of Sony's hubris even before the PS2 launched. On top of this, there were signs that Nintendo was moving in the right direction even before the Gamecube launched. Whether people like to believe it or not, the market did not just turn on a dime in this generation, Nintendo's success is not a fluke, and it will take a long time and a solid effort from another company to unseat Nintendo.