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Groucho on 21 December 2008
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Fun thread =)

1) PS3 will have two price cuts in 2009 -- a $70 cut in March, clearing out current 65nm/65nm models, and another $30 cut in Sept., accompanied by a 45nm/45nm PS3 slimline model.

2) The PS3 will perform extremely well next Holiday season, thanks to a $299.99 pricetag, an attractive case redesign, and the ever looming influence of Blu-Ray and HDTV. The Wii will still outsell it.

3) The Wii's sales will begin to taper off -- but not to the point where either of its "current gen competitors" can match its sales #s.

4) Microsoft will post some relatively low margins in the first financial quarter of 2009, for their entertainment division, due to delays in Jasper production, coupled with a large pricecut. Microsoft's entertainment division Q4 FY 2009 will be excellent, thanks to the benefits of the cheaper Jasper hardware and excellent holiday hardware sales driving software-based income.

5) A significant number of Sony's first- and second-party titles will be released in 2009, providing a large lineup of excellent titles, in turn driving increased PS3 sales.

6) Sony isn't done announcing new exclusive titles for 2009 yet. Neither is MS, although MS's announcements will largely appeal more to the casual/family audience.

7) Nintendo will announce some 2010 first-party releases, and will do their best to encourage 3rd party development on the Wii in 2009. They will not announce any serious 1st-party titles for the Wii that are to-be-released in 2009. Some will blame this strategy for the (minor) decline in Wii sales over 2008, but other factors are really more relevant.

8) PC gaming will continue to surge forward, as will PSN, XBLA, and WiiWare titles. Some of the best titles of the year will be smaller scale downloadable releases.

9) Sony will offer a "premium" service for PSN, which includes MMO subscriptions (or discounts on them) and a Qore subscription for a small monthly fee.

10) Microsoft will announce a partnership with a large MMO publisher, and at least one of that publisher's MMOs will be announced for the 360.