Predictions for 2009

[shams]

Wii production will edge up to 2.8m - producing around 30m shipped for the fiscal year. Most of these will be sold by end of fiscal year. Wii will edge on 72-74m sold by end of '09.

360 sales will increase on this year by around 10%. MS will sell around 15m 360s for the fiscal year, making it their best ever. Install base will egde up to 40m by end of '09.

PS3 sales will slow considerably in the Jan-March qrt this year - then get a real boost from April-Dec. Sony will release an updated PS3 model, which is "cheaper" but will also have "less features". They will also NOT cut the price of the PS3, but start bundling more with it (i.e. GT5?).

Heavy Rain will effectively flop.

GT5 will be released in fiscal '09, and will end up being the best seller on the PS3.

MS will heavily promote the GTA DLC, and GTA sales on the 360 will make a significant increase.

Wii Sports:Resort - will be easily the biggest seller of '09, and may smash all sales records (as long as its not supply constrained, which it may be).

WiiFit will be the #2nd biggest seller in '09, selling another 10m copies (or close). Nintendo may cut the price, or start releasing WiiFit / Wii bundles.

An original GTA will be announced for the Wii.

An original Final Fantasy will be announced for the Wii (probably another FFXIII spin-off).

FF:CC will be released for the Wii in '09.

Kingdom Hearts will be announced for the Wii in '09.

Mass Effect II will remain a 360 exclusive - timed at least.

Assassins Creed II will be pretty awesome, and be a Xmas title.

Nintendo will have at least one "out of the blue" surprise for everyone - and it may be a Wii Pokemon title.