Predictions for 2009

[Oyvoyvoyv]

Awesome, hopefully this one will be bumped up too. I'll skip doing a lot of reasoning here, but if you want reasons for why I claim as I do, just ask me, and I'll post it. Also, I'm sticking to mainly Nintendo predictions simply because those are the titles I know the best. I don't feel I know enough about the Ps360 titles to make fair predictions for those.

Wii: 74M (28.5M sold) - 52.5%

X360: 37.2M (10.2M sold) - 26.4%

Ps3: 29.7M (10.2M sold) - 21.1%

 

DS: 128M (30M sold)

PsP: 55M (11M sold)

 

1. Wii Fit will be one of the top 3 best sellers of 2008.

2. Wii Sports Resort will be in the top 3 as well.

3. Mario Kart Wii will be in the top 10. It will also outsell Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, and beat all previous generation console games. 

4. Wii Music will sell 2M or more in 2009, leaving it at 4M or more.

5. Wii Play, New Super Mario Bros. and Wii Fit will pass 20M. This means that 5 current gen titles will have passed it, and only 6 in total from previous generations. Mario Kart Wii will beat 20M sometime, but it is doubtable that it will do so in 2009.

6. Mario Kart DS will outsell Gran Turismo 3 - A Spec, becomming the 2nd best selling racer ever (behind Mario Kart Wii)

7. Super Mario Galaxy will have sold more than Super Smash Bros. Brawl by the end of 09. Neither will have broken 10M, but both will be pretty close to it. 

8. Gran Turismo 5 will, if released in Q2 or first half of Q3, sell 4M or more by end of 09. Lifetime will exceed 7M, and come close to 10M, potentially beating Gran Turismo 2 and 4.

9. Ps3 will pass Xbox 360 in Europe.

10.  Animal Crossing: City folk will end at around 5M.

 

 

Okay, and now I'll be going on an edge here! I'll predict the total software sales. Certainly, this will be very wrong.

Wii: 240M. Between 45% and 55% will be first party titles.

X360: 185M

Ps3: 125M

 

DS: 185M

PsP: 45M

 

 

Continuing (not edit)

 

11. Ps3 will by far have the highest quality titles, going by reviewers (Metacritic). Wii will be the definate last.

12. Carnival Games (Wii) will outsell the induvidual versions of GTA IV in 09 (for the year, not total). It will sell over 1M. It will be Take 2's best selling 2nd year title.

13. Fire Emblem DS will be the first Fire Emblem title ever to sell 1M WW (far fetched as hell)

 

Regional breakdown for the machines.

 

Wii: 74M (28.5M sold)

Americas: 33.5M (13M sold)

Others: 30.25M (13M sold)

Japan: 10.25M (2.5M sold)

 

X360: 37.2M (10.2M sold)

Americas: 21M (5.6M sold)

Others: 14.5M (4.25M)

Japan: 1.2M (350K sold)

 

Ps3: 29.75M (10.2M sold)

Americas: 11M (3.8M)

Others: 15.25M (5.5M)

Japan: 3.5M (0.9M)

 

14. No new handheld will be announced.

15. Nintendo, Sony and Microsoft will all post earnings on their financial reports.

 

If I add more, I'll state when they were added and that I added them.

 

Oyvoyv out. Cya next year (to myself?) :P