5) God of War III will make it out in 2009
6) PS3 will get a price cut in Q1 or Q2
4) if GT5 makes it out next year, it will be after November when the Wii will be selling like mad. No chance the PS3 outsells the Wii on GT5 launch week if it happens during 2009.
5) God of War III will not come out in 2009. Sony likes to hype their games up at least 2 years before release. GoW 3 just started getting hype.
6) Sony cannot afford or justify a price cut in Q1 or Q2. They will be lucky to get one by the holidays 2009.