SmokedHostage on 18 December 2008
| NJ5 said: Oh, he also has a whole article from December 15th about why the Wii bubble could well burst (apparently this is the last big Christmas for the Wii... I wonder what a non-big Christmas looks like?): For two years now analysts have been predicting the imminent demise of the Wii. They have become a bit quiet recently as it chalks up ever more amazing sales success. Yet there are a few reasons why what we are seeing now is the end of the boom.
* Any bubble bursts just as it reaches its biggest size. And the Wii is now selling in massively unsustainable numbers. It just cannot go on. LOL WUT? * The penetration of HDTVs has increased massively over the last two years. Thus cruelly exposing the Wii’s last generation graphics to far more people. Also 360 and PS3 games have had commercials and ads showing HD graphics for longer than the Wii's existence and have yet to fully penetrate the Wii's Market. * The Xbox 360 is cheaper. Yes, the Arcade SKU is cheaper, but when long term expenses for the 360 outweight those for the Wii such as power comsumption and the cost of games.(5 $60 games vs. 5 $ 50 games) Also price has shown to be rather secondary as Wii's have sold for around $400 on Ebay and other sites. * The Xbox 360 is a huge amount better than the Wii. It has far more games and vastly more good games. And it has Live, by far the best online gaming portal. Gradually the public will come round to understanding these realities. Yes the 360 has more games but one of strongest arguments against the Wii is that it's selling to non-gamers. If these non-gamers never intended to buy the 360, why would they buy one now? Remember, these non-gamers largely don't pay attention to reviews. * The Wii has a very weak game library. The first party games, a few good third party games. Then lots of dross shovelware. And game consoles are for playing games. True, consoles are for playing games but the strength of a console's library is subjective. Also if the Wii is selling strongly to casual gamers, why would they suddenly buy consoles that are saturated with FPS's, TPS's, WRPG's, etc. * Nintendo have now rolled out all their great and famous properties on the Wii. So they have very few places left to go for the stream of AAA titles needed to sustain a platform. Most, not all of the their great and famous properties, have been releasedd. Also if software sales are to note on, the top 3 selling games on the platform are new IP's. (Wii Sports, Wii Play, Wii Fit) * The Wii is not making much money for many publishers so they are voting with their feet and allocating their resources to platforms that will make them money. But these "many publishers" largely ignore the Wii as a viable platform for their software. * Most of the Wii customer base is the very casual “toy” market. They will be very fickle as they move onto the next “must have” trend. The Wii will become tired. One, all consoles are toys. They're just glorified by mature content and multimedia capabilities. Two, unless some new "toy" like platform comes out, I doubt this customer base will move on. * Money is getting a lot tighter as the world tips into recession. Casual frippery, like most Wii purchases, will be an early casualty. If anything the recession is helping the Wii as $400 is hardly acceptable for most new consumers. Also, recession hardly alienates, hardcore gamers will likely to cut back as well so I'm going to assume that the fall of casual consumers buying won't be good for the industry as a whole. * Most people likely to buy a Wii already have. In terms of market penetration Nintendo are now going to suffer from the law of diminishing returns. Yea.. that's why it's selling millions for the past few weeks.
|
The fanboyism.. it's constricting.
Pixel Art can be fun.
