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40 million. Wii at 25m and Xbox360 15 million. Xbox360 would be completely dead in Japan and almost dead in Europe. Wii would not sell so well (better than Gamecube) because most PS2 owners and casual would go for PS3. And most game that exclusive for PS2 will still remain PS3 exclusive. But Sony will lose their HD format war. The only reason why Sony put Blu Ray into PS3 is because of their HD format war with Toshiba's HDDVD.