halil23 said:
Viper1 said:
halil23 said:
Gilgamesh said:
halil23 said:
How about the user base at the time of each series releases, so we can get a clearer prediction???
Anyway I think it will |
Not sure how much this will help but I got the numbers for just the PS2 (so GT3 and 4) because the numbers for the PS1 were incomplete.
Here's a list of how many PS2's were sold in Japan, America and Total Others at the time each Gran Turismo was released.
| PS2 Gran Turismo 3: A-Spec |
|
Japan
|
4.3 million |
| America |
4.9 million |
| Total Others |
2.7 million |
| Total |
11.9 million |
|
PS2 Gran Turismo 4
|
|
| Japan |
17.5 million |
| America |
31.9 million |
| Total Others |
29.9 million |
| Total |
79.3 |
|
Thank you very much.
So first GT game on PS2 had a userbase of 12 million. So by the time PS3 first GT game comes out, it will have a userbase of over 25 million (that double!)
Therefore I think GT5 can top GT3 sales of 14.87 million easily.
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You think all 14.8 million copies of GTA 3 A-Spec sold right away? It took years. The PS2's install also increased far faster than the PS3's install base is. By the time GTA 3 sold the 14.8 million units the PS2 had over 65-70 million units sold.
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Knew I had to be more specific T_T
*Price cuts before release of GT5 (maybe 2!) increases PS3 sales and when GT5 launch it will increase more sales for PS3. Everyone should know GT franchise is a BIG hardware mover.
*If PS3 continue to be hack free.
*GT5 will have car damage, thus attracting more type of racer fans.
Plus it Gran Turismo for crying out loud. :P
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You're basing your projection on a lot of "ifs", not facts. The facts, as we know them today, do not suggest a 10 million seller. projecting 10 million requires a sales model that depends on factors beyond our knowledge and calculations.
