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I don't think the Wii will be able to make serious inroads into the sports fan (madden/fifa) or shooter fan demographic (halo/gears), both of which the PS2 did extremely well at. That demographic is going PS3/360 this generation.
Thus, I don't think the Wii will reach PS2 heights.



Yet, today, America's leaders are reenacting every folly that brought these great powers [Russia, Germany, and Japan] to ruin -- from arrogance and hubris, to assertions of global hegemony, to imperial overstretch, to trumpeting new 'crusades,' to handing out war guarantees to regions and countries where Americans have never fought before. We are piling up the kind of commitments that produced the greatest disasters of the twentieth century.
 — Pat Buchanan – A Republic, Not an Empire