Oyvoyvoyv said:
Did you even predict this? I remember it as X360 Q3+Q4 will > Ps3 Q3+Q4
As the Ps3 > the X360 by 1.4M in Q1+Q2, that means you didn't really predict this. (No offense though, I thought you a fool when you made the prediction originally). |
Microsofts actions were the easy ones to judge. I knew their best bet was to take action towards the end of the year where the impact will be the strongest. They stated that they were aiming for 2nd this generation and I believed them. So it was easy to predict they would move, and strongly at this time. I almost wrote into my prediction that they would price the Arcade at $200, but I removed it because I thought it was too controversial! 
Sony were always going to be the hard ones to judge, given the financial situation they were under back then I figured into my prediction that they wouldn't cut the price towards the end of 2008, it didn't make sense to me. I thought their best bet was to wait until 2009 before cutting the price so I figured that any Microsoft movement would reverse the trend and give Microsoft a win.
Now I didn't expect Microsoft to cut the price in both Europe and North America. My idea was that Microsoft would be > Sony in North America and the gap would be closer, but in Sonys favour in Europe and that would give Microsoft the overall win ~400k consoles.
P.S im currently working through a tentative prediction for Q3/Q4 2009, but its hard as there are so many factors to consider coming into next year.
Tease.
