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I know we are talking exclusives here, but the 'killer app' does not have to be exclusive. CoD6 (Modern combat 2) will come out likely Novemeber, Assassins Creed 2 (supposed to be timed exclusive to Xbox), Bioshock 2, FFXIII, Resident Evil, will all be multi million sellers on the Xbox. This will be on top of Mass Effect 2, likely Forza 3 (will comeout before GT), Halo:OSDT, Halo Wars, Allen Wake, Madden 10, etc, etc, etc.

There will be plenty of great games next year, and I have faith that there will be at least 2-3 great titles (like Left 4 Dead) that will come out (maybe Orange Box 2?).