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An early thread made me wonder if the top PS3 exclusive may top the 360's for the first time in 09. However, after checking the numbers I realized the 360 may not even make the cut for 08. While I'm aware MGS4 came out much earlier in the year, I find it interesting nonetheless.

Here are the stats of both games:

Gears of War 2: (3,187,025)



America Others Total


2.12m 1.08m 3.20m


1,306,571 589,673 1,896,244


330,703 201,966 532,669


169,305 101,258 270,563


186,156 87,297 273,453


119,116 94,980 214,096


Metal Gear Solid 4: (3,617,387)

(Worldwide sales)
4 weeks ago - 24,726
3 weeks ago - 27,731
2 weeks ago - 38,065
1 week ago  - 33,984


The current difference in sales is 430k. There are three weeks left in the year, so Gears 2 must outsell MGS4 by ~145k a week to make the cut. Can it make it? While the most recent week has shown possible signs of slowdown for Gears 2, it still outsold MGS4 by about 180k. Also, after last month's NPD, some suspect Gears 2 may be overtracked. What do you think?