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Elite1 said:

Why are so many people under the impression that the PS3 will stop selling in 3 years? Look at the damn PS1 and PS2. If these are anything to base the PS3 sales time frame on, and they are, the PS3 will sell well into the PS4's lifetime meaning not necessarily that it will reach 100 million but that it can sell easily for the next 5 years. By that time the price will have dropped significantly and it would not be absurd to think that then it could approach that magic number.

*first *

Perhaps because the length of time the PS3 is on the market is determined by it's sales.... if it doesn't sell well enough it will recieve less marketing and attention, causing it to slow down in sales faster and eventually be pulled from production.

Successful consoles go on to sell for long healthy lives. Unsuccessful consoles do not.

NES = 14yo when it was discontinued in America/Europe, and 20yo in Japan.
SNES = 13-14yo when it was discontnued
PS = just over 10yo when it was stopped
PS2 will likely manage just over 10 years too.

PS3 has not been so brilliant, and will not likely last much longer than the average console lifespan, it depends more on the next x box than past sony consoles (ie if MS release a new one in 2 years, Sony will need to respond, Nintendo won't care until the Wii slows down.)