consoles:
i think wii2 and ps4 will launch in fall of 2013, and nextbox fall of 2012. MS and especially sony will have to wait that long for their current systems to drop in price enough and the tehnology to be advaned beyond their current systems enough to make a new system viable at $300-350. this means ps3 and 360 pro will have to be under $200. microsoft is in a little bit better situation than sony and launched a year earlier so i think they could launch early again.
wii2 will launch 2013 while the wii drops to $100 and continues to sell for a couple more years.
360 will stop selling in 2013 and have sold in the 50-60 million range.
ps3 will stop selling in 2014 and have sold in the 50-60 million range.
wii will stop selling in 2015 and have sold 160-170 million range (140-150 when wii2 comes out)
handhelds:
DS2 (i hope they go back to the gameboy name though) will launch in 2012. DS hardware sales will be dead in japan by then and dying in the west. it will have sold 180-190 million all told. DS2 will probably launch in japan in early-mid 2012 (or even possibly end of 2011), in the west it'll be for the holiday in 2012. this leaves 2013 open for wii2 release.
PSP2 will launch in fall of 2011. PSP will be in the 70-80 million range.
end of '08 predictions: wii - 43 million, 360 - 25 million, ps3 - 20 million
Games I've beat recently: Super Mario Galaxy, Knights of the Old Republic, Shadow of the Collossus
Proud owner of wii, gamecube, xbox, ps2, dreamcast, n64, snes, genesis, 3DO, nes, atari, intellivision, unisonic tournament 2000, and gameboy
