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FFXIII will most likely be released during 2009 holiday season in Japan. I think PS3's install base will be 3.5-4.2 millions by that time in the region.

FFXIII - PS3 - Japan - 2.3 millions
PS3/360 - NA - 3.5 millions
PS3/360 - Europe - 2 millions

7.8 millions overall, with 60-40 split between 360 and PS3 versions in NA and EU in favor of 360 one.

Versus - 4 millions worldwide with 1.5 from Japan.
Agito - 2.5 worldwide with half from Japan.