| '07 VS '08 – Xbox 360 | |||||
| 2007 (11/3 to 1/5) |
2008 (11/1 to 1/3) |
Diff. (YoY) |
% Diff. (YoY) |
Net Diff. (YoY) |
|
| Wk 1 | 196,864 | 221,458 | +24,594 | +12.5% | +24,594 |
| Wk 2 | 197,118 | 283,294 | +86,176 | +43.7% | +110,770 |
| Wk 3 | 230,531 | 320,539 | +90,008 | +39.0% | +200,778 |
| Wk 4 | 420,083 | 436,974 | +16,891 | +4.0% | +217,669 |
| Wk 5 | 325,614 | 800,140 | +474,526 | +145.7% | +692,195 |
| Wk 6 | 427,194 | 645,749 |
-427,194 | +51.2% |
- |
| Wk 7 | 509,782 | -509,782 | - | ||
| Wk 8 | 589,617 | -589,617 | - | ||
| Wk 9 | 330,298 | -330,298 | - | ||
| Wk 10 | 220,900 | -220,900 | - |
I posted Sqrl's hype thread numbers above as a referrence.
This year there are 3 weeks left before Christmas and 1 week after. The difference is 3.14 million between the current Xbox 360 total and the target of 28 million. If we assume that the week after Christmas will have 300,000 console sales, following the trends set by the Xbox 360 on the H.Y.P.E. thread it would mean the remaining 3 weeks would have to be at or above 940k averaged to reach the 28 million mark.
Looking at the chart, the Xbox 360 sales numbers are more akin to week 5 of the graph, rather than week 6, because the number of weeks until christmas are identical and they both fall immediately after Black Friday.
The numbers following post black friday last year were: -23%, +31%, +19%, and +16% with the Xbox 360 only dropping 20% rather than 23% from this black friday. So if the Xbox 360 follows last years trends exactly from here it will sell 851,166, 1,012,887, and 1,174,949 on Christmas week to reach a total of 3,039,002 over the last 3 weeks before christmas.
The numbers indicate something interesting is going on, but do you agree? Could the Xbox 360 hit 28 Million the week after Christmas?
Tease.
