Hey,
The year 08 will be a head to head this week and the Xbox360 will most likely win this year over the PS3 by 500k - 1million.
The gap will be like 7.5 million at the end of the year. And guess what, consoles will be sold after Xmas. I don't see this trend Xbox360 > PS3 stopping. So a PS3-price-cut is a strange thing. Sony is still in the reds, they might break even after Xmas. But in such a recession and with the latest news about Sony firing 16000 people and reducing 1.1 million Dollar of costs, I don't know if a price-cut is possible in 3 months. If it happens though, Sony will lose even more money. So April is the earliest I can imagine a price-drop.
That would give the Xbox360 another 12 weeks of outselling the PS3. So how big will the gap get? I think 8.5 million is a good shot. What do you guys think.
A 8.5 gap would mean that the PS3 needs to outsell the Xbox360 from that point on by 500k every month to pass the Xbox360 in November 2010. This will be a really hard job for sony.
What are your thoughts? is my scenario possible? What do you think about the size of the gap?
P.S. No, the PS3 is not doomed. Developing costs are too high to focus on one console. Publishers need both.
Imagine not having GamePass on your console...
