c0rd said:
Jereel Hunter said:
One_touch_KO said:
At some point last gen, people stoped to fight about console wars, and throwing out titles, PS2 was the dominant, no more talk about Gamecube or Xbox, period.
When will it happen IF happens this gen?
My bet is going to 2010, the Wii will be massified, it will define this gen. Will become the nº1 platform for developers just like DS is now and PSP is almost dead for thirds.
(Today's news of Dragon Quest X exclusive for Wii is the proof and just the beggining)
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Wii has not yet taken 50% marketshare. Last generation, Gamecube and Xbox combines to fight for 30-35% of the market. the 360 has 30% by itself. Despite the popularity of the Wii, it will never capture the marketshare PS2 had. And while it's share is still creeping up, it's likely to end at slightly less than it's current share, not more. I'd guess around 45% when all is said and done.
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Meh, I agree with your first bit, but don't really get how people can still believe that last part.
Are you one that believes the PS3 will make a miracle comeback, or one that thinks the Wii will soon plunge in sales? At least one must be true if we take the current momentum into account.
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Well, 45% marketshare is still the dominant winner of the generation... 360 momentum is increasing, and while I don't expect the PS3 to make a miracle comeback, I expect them to make *some* small inroads into this gen's marketshare. Wii has what right now, like 48-49% of MS? so I'm guessing a loss of 3-4%? I think the PS3 is likely to sell a lot better when it's price drops. (Not a miracle, not even expecting it to overtake the 360) but I think end of generation expectations of MS hanging onto 30%, and Sony making up enough ground to end at 25%... I think that's reasonable.
