Insomniac's Brian Hastings speaks out on the PS3

[Erik Aston]

Soulxxx said: Thanks for pointing that out robjoh... I WANNA BET THAT THE WII WILL NOT SELL MORE THAN THE PS360 COMBINED BY 2009! Here are the stakes.. if I lose, I go out and buy a Wii, if you lose.. you all buy a PS3 (Trust me, you'll thank me for that). By "all" I mean those who join the bet.

Hey, now! That's not much of a bet! If I lose, I've got to spend twice as much as you! I think if you lose, you've got to buy TWO Wiis. Lets just say Wii sales are 1 million a month right now... Putting it at 6 million through March, and 13 million through October... If sales go through a normal x2 for November, x4 for December trend... That puts Wii at 19 million at the end of the year. Whether Nintendo can produce that many is a seperate issue, and the one thing that could bite me in the ass... I think Nintendo can follow that up with 20 million a year, and be at 60 million by the end of 2009. If sales don't slow down, that's where Wii will be at the end of 2009. Though of course, Wii is doing 1 million a month while supply constrained right now, and Nintendo is increasing production. And if Wii-branded games show recokulous sustained sales like Touch Generations games have (and like they are in Japan already)... Then Wii should actually continue to accelerate... X360 is only starting to break past XBox1 sales. If it accelerates well past that rate this year, it will be well beyond XBox's 24.5 million total by the end of 2009. Let's say, 33-35 million. Wii is already trending better than 2:1 over PS3, and that's only likely to expand. So yeah, I think Wii can beat 360 + PS3 by the end of 2009. Now, if (when?) FF and MGS go to 360, it's sales will be much, much higher, and PS3s much, much lower, but Wii will still have 50% of the market. I could easily be wrong, but I somehow doubt both of us will be here then.