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I think this gen will end in Q4 2011 when the PS4 and 720 release. 1st place is decided, not sure about 2nd place. A year ago, everyone was saying the PS3 is doomed for 3rd place. 6 months later, everyone was saying the 360 was doomed for 3rd place. Now everyone is saying the PS3 is doomed for 3rd place again. I'm sure things will change again in 6 months.