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KatinJin said:

MS has shipped way more than 3 million at this point you can count on that. If they did 2 the first weekend and Gears 2 performs anywhere near the legs of Gears 1 you can bet they're pushing near 4 million shipped by the end of the week. If NPD reports close to VGC on Thursday you can also bet they are not too far off WW either. At the Gears one ratio at 2 million for November in the US for Gears 2 it could see another 1.6 million in December. That is merely using the ratio of Gears 1 sales in 2006 for Nov and Dec. They would have to push shipments way further than 3 million by this point. That is just simply the math of having enough stock through Christmas week and that is merely the US.

 

 Gears 1 was a new IP. New IP's have slower adoption rates, but if they are really good like gears they have nice long legs. Sequels have more day 1 purchases because all the people who loved the first are going to get it in the first 2 weeks.

Also, Gears fighting against CODWaW... I know they are different, but many people are only going to buy one or the other. Much the same way Res2 is losing sales to it.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut