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Kantor said:
To begin with, LBP is going to sell a LOT more than 1.5 million LTD.

LBP does not fit the PS3's audience.

Killzone 2 does fit the PS3's audience. CoD4 will easily cross 4 million, and you think those people are going to buy one shooter a year? No, they buy lots of shooters. If people see this advertised, they will see how amazing it looks, and they will forget about Killzone 1. Which, by the way, sold over 2 million units.

The reason Resistance 2 sold badly is because World at War was releasing at roughly the same time. The CoD audience are only going to buy one game at a time, and if it's between CoD5 and another shooter, they will choose the Call of Duty.

Killzone 2 launches in February. That is three months after CoD:WaW. The shooter fans will want another FPS. They will look for the best FPS on the PS3, and find Killzone 2.

That is why I predict 700k first week, 4-4.5 million LTD.

 

Also worth noting that a lot of multi console owners bought CoD4 for the 360 and a lot of them will want to buy and play Killzone 2 on the PS3.