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at the current rate of production they will likely be around 120 million consoles at the end of 2012... but that's if they don't increase production and if poeple still buy this thing... eventually it's going to die down... Nintendo is going to be hard pressed to release a system as massively successful next generation and Microsoft is making a good push... if... and that's a big IF... they succeed then that will likely take a check out of Nintendo... perhaps not coming close to it in sale, but convencing Wii owners to check it out... see what else is out there... so when the next generation of consoles comes they will look at Microsoft to and not just jump on the Nintendo ship like people did with the PS1 to the PS2