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Again, as I mentioned, a new competitor would decrease the market share of the Wii, PS3, and 360. Secondly, I do not see the popularity of the HD consoles dropping relative to the Wii over the next two years. If anything, the popularity will increase. Check out the adoption rates of HDTVs this holiday. Nintendo may even surprise everyone and release a new HD console by the end of 2010. Remember, even though a Wii can play Gamecube games does not mean that you add the total Wii units sold to the Gamecube's market share. I can see the decline of the Wii plain as day, but it is hard to say exactly what the figures would be.