Yulegoat on 29 March 2007
Soulxxx said:Wii failing would mean:
A) A severe drop in monthly sales (consoles). If now it's like 300K-400K worldwide, I'm talking about 80K-100K worldwide.
B) Real lost of interest. People won't be speaking of it anymore (Read: Not as much as they are now)
C) It'll lose alot of it's current 3rd party support.
I would say "fade" is better term than "fail". I guess the sales peak of Wii will be in the end of year 2008. By then it'll be so cheap that majority of the people who were going to buy it at some point will also do so. By then Wii will have had many killer apps. However, I won't bet on the things you mentioned because I don't know how Nintendo will manage this generation. It doesn't matter how long the life cycle of Wii is because they make already profit on the hardware sales, so they could drop the price substantially before 2009 and make the sales boom for a short while. Then maybe the last wave of great Wii games will start to be developed.
In the best scenario, Wii will be a lot like DS. The innovation isn't seen as the purpose itself, but a tool to make better software. So the constant pour of good software drives the sales for a long time. DS vs. PSP: http://www.vgcharts.org/aconscomps.php?name1=DS&name2=PSP&type=0&align=1
