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Max King of the Wild said:

MS did not sell 310k in one day. I also have NO clue how you figured % of BF numbers for the week.

 

I just used the numbers in this thread, I used the 270k explaining the process in my previous post, but then used the 310k number since someone mentioned it.

VGChartz reports 381,789 for the week.

Using Black Friday numbers of 270k (we'll use this instead) we can find that 70.72% of the week's consoles were sold on Black Friday.

Microsoft reports there was a 25% increase in sales for Black Friday.

Increase last year's numbers by 25% bringing us to 337,500 for Black Friday.

Factor in the percentage outside of Black Friday for last year and that brings us to 436,320 units sold in the USA.

You'd then have to factor in Mexico and Canada.

But yes, this is very anecdotal, but no more than any of the other guesses here.  I'm just saying 500k is still possible using numbers.