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Thanks for the good post Oyvoyvoyv. I wish all people here would be trying to discuss things like this.

By the way, confirmed 2009 releases for Japan:

Dragon Quest IX [DS]
Final Fantasy XIII [PS3]
Kingdom Hearts 358/2 days [DS]
Kingdom Hearts: Birth By Sleep [PSP]
Final Fantasy CC: Echoes of Time [DS]
Final Fantasy CC: Echoes of Time [Wii]
Star Ocean: The Last Hope [X360]
The Last Remnant [PS3]
Dragon Quest VI [DS]

Also possible: The 3rd Birthday, Final Fantasy CC: Crystal Bearers.

If there will be no delays, then I can see 10-13 millions software sold in Japan during 2009. And correct me if I am wrong but no 3rd party publisher has ever managed to reach that number in Japan.