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I disagree motion controls will be standard. I don't think Sony will have the guts to jump to motion controllers all out and come out with a second controller tht does the motion stuff and motion controls will mostly be unused for most games and work on more "traditional" games and trying to crush the next X-box.

The next X-Box i don't see changing either since it would drastically change FPS games. Which so far is there best genre. They also will likely come out with a secondary control or motion control built in that will rarely be utilized.

I expect their controls to look more like Sixaxis then anything. That's just my guess however.