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Hyruken said:
If you think about it from a pure statistical sense it would be VERY VERY unlikely the PS3 will make 20m by the end of this year.

As mentioned it has 6 weeks to do it. If you look at the sales of the previous 6 weeks the PS3 sold 1.18m units. Which means to reach 20m it has to shift 3.11m units in 6 weeks. Which is at bare minimum 520k sales a week. To put that into perspective would mean the PS3 would have to increase sales from 200k a week to 520k. An increase of 320k or 150% a week.

Now a wierd statistic is that for the same period last year the PS3 also sold 1.18m units. In the last 6 weeks of 2007 it went on to sell 2.9m units. So if Sony have a bit of history repeating they will be very close to if not being 20m only a few hundred k away from it.

However it's sales have now started to dip quite sharply and if it sticks with it's current projection of 200k a week it will sell at very best 1.2m. I dont live in US but i would guess black friday would give us a very good indication of what type of holiday the PS3 will have. For it to stand a chance of compeating it must at least match it's black friday week sales of last year which was 730k. Anything less then that and statistically it will struggle to beat it.

So how did the PS3 do in the weeks leading UP to that CRAZY amount it sold on the week of Black Friday?  That could be a very good barometer of how it COULD do this year when we compare the 2008 weeks leading up to BF.