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No, I think Sony will fall a little bit short. Around 19.5m or so. We've got a pretty good idea of what the holiday rampup will look like over the last two weeks, and PS3 is clearly trending under last year's totals. Since it has to outdo last year's numbers to hit 20m, that doesn't look like it will happen.

On the plus side, it makes my end of 2008 prediction look a little better. I'll be under on all three consoles, but pretty sharp for a prediction made the first week of January.



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End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)