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the ps3 sold around 2.8 million consoles in the same period last year, with much fewer games.

this year, they have a lot more games, but the economy is in the mudhole. so despite all the new games, i doubt they can reach 20 million without some kind of government intervention to suddenly soothe the economy.

i predict they will get to 19 million+, the ceiling probably would be 19.5 million.