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Launch xenon 360's are junk, the early falcon's are junk, the newest falcons are much much better but the problem still exists.  If you aren't in a hurry I would say wait and buy a Jasper when they come out.  I wouldn't be surprised if the jaspers still RROD'd because they admittingly don't know what the entire problem is, but they are working rather diligently on it.  I'm not sure if they fixed the disc scratching issue but my last refurb was for scratching.

 

But you should consider more than this when deciding.  You should take a look at each consoles exclusives and ask YOURSELF which ones you like best.  Don't look up biased reviews, don't ask these forums as you'll get fanboy answers, and make your choices carefully.  Whatever console appeals more to you based on exclusives... buy that one.  Multiplat titles are virtually the same, some will argue each way but its BS.  I've played most multiplats on both and didn't see the issues they were pointing out.  Also, decide for yourself if you will EVER plan on watching hi-def movies (if you even have an HDTV) and factor that in on your ps3 column.

 

So when you figure out which exclusives appeal to you most, buy that unit on black friday.  If you narrow down to 360 and rrod scares you, buy a jasper unit when they are available.  If money is not a constraint, buy both.