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guys, You keep talking about Demand being down, but you forgot the other side of the equation... Supply.

Supply will most likely be 40-50% higher this year. Meaning that it could appear to be 40-50% in less demand. Like Today I was in Gamestop, they had wiis in stock, I asked him, are sales slowing? He hell no, they are flying off the shelves, we are just getting a ton.

Now If I were like bloomberg I would have read the sign on the door that said "Wii In Stock" and kept walking believing that people just werent buying them.

Now I would say it is safe so the total demand could be lower. I expect it to be like the DS of last year and dry up come 2nd week of dec. Remember there are 20 million more Wii in the hands of consumers, meaning the audience is a bit smaller. BUT WiiFit seems to have created new audience.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut