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Depends on if Rare or Microsoft ends up deleting vehicle mods that are shared online. If not, then it has a chance to sell well enough.

Personally, I want the game. I enjoyed the demo and have heard really good things from people that actually PLAYED the full game. The marketing campaign seems to be really good too, as the commercial explains the gist of the game well within a very short amount of time (better than the LBP commercials IMO). But it will be easy for the game to get lost in the flood of games this season for the 360. I'm expecting first week sales in the mid 100k's.

But the final number for this game will be much higher. Why? I'd bet my good kidney that it'll end up being a pack-in game.