XBox 360 - 40M Units Sold by the End of Next Year!!!

[DirtyP2002]

MikeB said:

I think it's very unlikely the 360 will reach beyond 40 million LTD like I stated a few years ago. This even with people upgrading older 360s due to RRoD issues or for HDMI.

All major XBox games have now seen 360 sequels and entry pricing is now on par as during the end of the original XBox' lifecycle. So I expect things to get much harder for Microsoft after this holiday season.

I expect:

- Blu-Ray movie compatibility will become even more of a factor, as well as people getting more educated about the gaming advantages like no disc scratching issue to worry about and far more storage space for lossless audio and graphics.

- Already with games like Killzone 2 people will clearly be able to judge which console is by far more powerful.

- Final Fantasy XIII exclusively will probably kill the 360 for Japan.

- Playstation Home will significantly widen the gap with XBox Live for which people have to pay for monthly or yearly subscriptions, something which IMO should be free. Not only will the PS3 have the best PSN content (Warhawk, Super Stardust HD, WipeOut HD, etc, etc) or the most advanced online multiplayer functionality (like 30 vs 30 lag free squad battles or 8 player co-op in Resistance 2, massive LittleBigPlanet user created content, 12 player lag free online in Motorstorm: PR, etc), it will also be the most socially compelling, being able to chat in realtine while playing some chess, pool, bowling, etc with friends and/or new people within a complex game world before adding them to your friendlist.

- Market percentage wise the PS3 will be about on par at the beginning of next year, so like we have seen with the Atari ST vs Amiga it's expected multi-plaform devs will start to take advantage far more of the PS3's unique or distinguishing features, such as additional storage space, Cell processing power and harddrive caching.

• MS won't let it happen, that the Xbox360 runs out of software. I REALLY hope for a new Jade Empire :) besides that there is Star Ocean, Halo Wars, Alan Wake, Splinter Cell etc. There is much more to come.
• or installations for up to 20 minutes
• Killzone2 looks great. But there is no huge gap to games like Gears of War2. Alan Wake looks great, too.
• It was never planned that the Xbox360 could be alive in Japan.
• question of taste
• What's the point of playing chess before adding them? You can play Halo with them, chat in realtime and adding them afterwards. So I don't see an advantage. Actually I don't see what Home might be good for? I want to play my AAA game. I don't want to make new friends while I am walking around in a virtual world. But maybe thats just me.
• You can't compare Atari ST vs Amiga with Xbox360 vs Ps3. It is just wrong.