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CAL4M1TY said:
I agree, except:

1) It's impossible that the PS3 will obliterate expectations, because of the fact that the biggest games for it in 2009 are already known (GT5, KZ2, GoW3, FF13). NOTHING that comes out on the PS3 will have as much of an impact as those 4 games.

All the PS3 can do is either fail to live up to expectations, or live up to expectations

2) Heavy Rain CANNOT be a sleeper. There's just way to much hype about it's graphics, a user created an account just to say the graphics are awesome (CGI-Quality anyone?).

Heavy Rain can only be a massive hit or it'll flop. That's the same with all big, overhyped exclusives. It can't be swept under the rug, not by haters if it's good, not by the PS3 fans if it sucks.

But otherwise, I think you're correct.

Also, I think the Wii's contributing. I'm not talking about "core gamers" here, because the core gamers that own a Wii would of had a Gamecube or N64 (perhaps in addition to PS2 and PS1). I'm talking about the people that bought the eyetoy, buzz and singstar. Because they don't have things like brand loyalty, they jumped ship. The Wii is as big of an issue as the 360. Perhaps bigger, because the PS2 would not have the legs it has had, nor the 120+ million units sold, with just the core gamer base.

Nice analysis cal4m1ty btw Dark knight coming soon on blu ray cant wait!!