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Grooski said:

To a certain extent he is right. He is not talking about sales, but the PS3/X360/Wii hardware package.

MS have now played their full hand with the X360. The price cuts are the last it will get in its mainstream life, the feature set will not have any major additions past the NXE update and games will tend to maintain multiplatform status with a few new exclusives sprinkled in. In other words, the platform has just peaked. Basically its a move to grind Sony out of the marketplace.

The Wii has limited lifespan in its present state. For a "nextgen console" who launched in 2006/2007 to be talking about an update in 2010/2011 means that even Nintendo recognise this. This is not a bad thing, I think most people would realise that the longevity of the Wii will be lower than the other HD consoles. The console also does not have a strong core games offering announced for next year. Yet.

Sony have their mainstream price cuts to come next year, have hinted at new feature sets such as music store and new controller schemes, as well as the largest 1st/2nd party developer group in the market. Large 3rd party development firms have hinted they are leading on the PS3 - this will help the multiplatform porting weaknesses that the console gets. I think in terms of improving position, Sony has the most room to move.

Actually, Sony are in a remarkable position at the moment. I, and all but the most diehard fans, had written the PS3 off this time last year - thought it was finished. The fact that they have picked themselves up off the canvas and landed a few punches this year is testament to that company. I personally agree in this respect, it has been the year of the PS3 - the year they got on their feet and stayed competitive.

I think he may be right. Whether its a ever going to be a winning position, who knows?

Slimline 360 maybe?