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No, for 3 reasons:

1) We have absolutely NO good data for the Fallout series. Fact is, it's popularity was built on a cult following, which means it didn't sell very good.

2) Oblivion launched with far lower numbers. Bethsada shipped around 2 million units of TESIV it's first week. Fallout 3 is over double that.

3) Oblivion was/is the pinnacle of RPG leggery. It sold great at launch on the X360 (250k units) and sold nearly 2 million units in America alone. Fallout 3 will have great legs.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.