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Zucas on 08 November 2008
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ZenfoldorVGI said:
fayewong said:

You have to know something, when you talk about Halo, GTA. Those are franchises that are from previous gen and a lot older than Gears. You are putting a lot of faith on a 2 year old game. This is Gears 2, not 3. If it was 3, it probably will sell a lot more because of the previous two games just like Halo did.

 

Oh Faye, lol. The question isn't IF it will sell a shitload. It's if it will sell said shitload in week 1 or 2.

 

Well usually for games like this they are heavily frontloaded.  Meaning if it were to release for a full 7 days, at least 50% of the sales would have come in the first 2 days if not the first day.  Meaning if I had to guess in the first 2 days, or our first tracking week, I'd suspect about 2.5 million with about 700k-1 million in the next week which is really amazing anyways.  But I could see a very bold scenario in 2.75 in the opening week and 1.25 million in the second week to replicate that 4 million in 9 days as this thread states.  I really couldn't see it many other ways.  3 million in 2 days would be something else which is why I have issues with that.  I mean I don't even think a Halo property good do that haha.  I mean Halo 3  got 1.8 million in its first day and to think it could sell another 1.2 million in the second one is hard to imagine.  More than likely half of that or 900k at most which is 2.7 million. 

That is why the 2.75 million opening week I call very bold but given back to what I said over a week ago about the gaming market growth being so large that it might be able to make a game like Gears into somehting like that.