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koffieboon on 07 November 2008
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CrazzyMan said:

@koffieboon, so far,

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 06th Jan 2001 to 03rd Nov 2001:

Console PS2
Total
9,526,378
America
3,782,531
Japan
2,499,385
Total Others
3,244,462

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 05th Jan 2008 to 01st Nov 2008:

Console PS3
Total
7,642,867
America
2,745,269
Japan
753,955
Total Others
4,143,643

If you remove Japan, then PS3 (NA+EU) sales in 2008 = PS2 (NA+EU) sales in 2001, so far.

then PS2 in Japan,

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 10th Nov 2001 to 29th Dec 2001:

Console PS2
Japan
1,071,365

and last year PS3,

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 10th Nov 2007 to 29th Dec 2007:

Console PS3
Japan
405,182

And last year Japan didn`t have ALL PS3 80GB models bundled with GT5P Spec III, neither LBP bundles(which still have potential), and incoming PES2009 bundle + WKC on track.

No, last year PS3 had an actual pricedrop in Japan, which is far better than this years offering to increase sales in the short term.

As far as your reasoning about leaving Japan out, that really makes no sense at all. The whole year long you have been comparing worldwide sales, and now that PS3 is quickly falling behind you want to take out Japan and just compare Others and the Americas combined. Well, looking at those two regions I can see 2 things:

In the Americas PS3 is already trending far behind and in the last 2 months it has sold only 65% compared to PS2. It will not even get close to PS2 2001 numbers and could very easily be outsold by almost a million in this region in the holiday season.

As far as Others is concerned, this region has throughout the year been the only reason why it looked close worldwide. But in the last 2 months even here it lost some ground. It might end up selling close to PS2 in 2001, but that would be a best scenario to me. Just as easily I could see it fall short of the 2.4 million PS2 did by quite a margin and end up selling closer to its 2007 sales. Considering October 2007 and 2008 for Others are almost equal, this really isn't a very unlikely scenario, although I would call it a worst case scenario.

In conclusion, while I agree with you PS3 will most likely get outsold by over 500k by PS2 in Japan, I expect another million will be added by the Americas and half a million by Others, for a total of around 2 million.