Imagine PS3 sales when it hits $200-250 range

[theprof00]

TWRoO said:

theprof00 said:

haxxiy said:
X360 had a massive price cut and almost nothing at all happened so why with PS3 would be different? This generation already has a wiiner, game over for PS3. By the time PS3 be like 200-250 how far cheaper the Wii360 will be?

you can't really use a question as a supporting argument

Also, even if the others are cheaper, ~250 is the magic price for consoles. Cheaper is better of course, but there are a lot of people who simply can't afford more than that, or won't afford it, if you catch my drift.

 

anyways, that will be a long time from now. Might not ever happen.

 

You might be thinking of Pachters "75% of console sales are at $199 or less" bullshit... which is, well, bullshit because he basically used only the PS2 to figure this out. The PS3 is not the PS2.

 

I hate to disagree with you here. but lets look at the other side of the argument before dropping the final words on it.

The only consoles that sold for more than 200$:

short amount of time over 200$:  snes - less than one year at 210$ dreamcast - 225 in japan for 6 months ps1:199 14 months after launch. ps2: just about 1 year and a half at 300$, then 199 (And sales doubled from that point onwards).
Long amount of time over 200$
wii: 2 years
Saturn: 400$
3do: 400$
ps3: 400$
360: 400$

now, consoles that sold for 200 or less for >75% of their lifetime:
ps2,ps1,snes,nes,n64, genesis, NintendoDS/advance

Now consoles that did terribly despite low price:
dreamcast, TG-16, Gamecube, (the reasons for poor sales were ps2 for the DC and GC, and sega/snes for the TG-16)

Just by looking at these partial set of numbers the most successful consoles in history sold for a price between 250-300$ (adjusted for inflation)

This next part is separate,

Now if you take pacthers quote, that missing 25% is pretty much comprised of wii sales, and one year of ps1/ps2 sales plus xbox360+ps3 sales.

Pitting the numbers against each other, you can see that the wii/360/ps3 and all the others (3do/jaguar/saturn) only make up 25% of sales. Of course as time is going on the Wii is destroying that ratio because ps2+ps1 sold about 17m in the time they were over 200$, and the ps360 have only sold about 39m.  If the Wii were at 200$ since the start, the "golden ratio" would be somewhere closer to 85%-90% (extra 5% for possibly improved sales) of consoles sell at 200$ price point.

Note: if there is confusion, it will probably lie in the part where I adjust for inflation. Patcher talks about 200$ price point, which theoretically is wrong because of inflation, however, 200$ IS where most of the consoles have sold the majority of their product