| Kasz216 said: Cause GDP growth is certaintly steady... and nothing could effect China's growth in the next oh... 42 years. It's going to grow a steady 10% every year and nothing is going to happen. |
GDP growth is pretty steady and predictable, especially in comparison with the rest of the world. China has been easily beating the United States in GDP growth since 1976 (if not before), and those were unsteady times.
Dont you think that economists would have taken China's GDP growth slowing down overtime as it increases? Do you think that such as simple factor could be over looked by such experts? Economists aren't that simple minded, nor am I and thats why I said 2050 instead of 2040 that more optimistic (or pessimistic) prediction would say.
Its not that difficult to realize China surpassing the USA, especially when you consider that China has three or four times as many people and its much easier to grow at lower GDP per capita rates. As I mentioned before, the only point you have is that China's military efficiency would be questionable when China has $15,000 GDP per capita and the United States has $50,000 per capita.
http://www.chinability.com/GDP.htm
