On the reevaluation of the PS3's fortunes down the road or lack thereof

[Cueil]

Seihyouken said:

thekitchensink said:

iceissac92 said:
sony will beat microsoft this gen simple as that, there is gears 2 and halo wars left for 360 this gen for exclusives so it's pretty much done
not flaming just being ignorant

I remember last year, when the 360 had no exclusives left after Halo 3

Off the top of my head, the 360 still has the following exclusives coming up:

-Halo 3 Recon

-Splinter Cell: Conviction

-Alan Wake

-Banjo Kazooie: Nuts and Bolts

-APB: All Points Bulletin

-Huxley

-Ninja Blade

-Lips

-You're In The Movies (Those two WILL sell some consoles)

-WET

-Star Ocean IV

-Forza Motorsport 3

 

And don't remind me of the large list of PS3 exclusives--I know about them, they look great, I'm excited for some of them.  I'm not putting them down--I'm just not being an ignorant idiot about this issue.

None of those games with the possible exceptions of Star Ocean: The Last Hope and Banjo-Kazooie: Nuts & Bolts will sell a noticable amount of systems. Halo 3: Recon, Halo Wars and Halo: Chronicles will all sell extremely well, but won't move systems due to the success of Halo 3. This is true for Forza Motorsport 3 and Mass Effect 2 as well. I've never even heard of WET and APB has been indefinitely postponed of the 360. Huxley is vaporware and you're clearly fooling yourself if you think You're in the Movies or Lips will sell consoles. In the end, Microsoft is left banking on new IPs such as Alan Wake and Ninja Blade to keep them competative in weekly sales in with Sony and Nintendo in 2009 and it's almost definitely not going to work with the Wii being what it is and Sony bringing HUGE system selling exclusives such as Gran Turismo 5, God of War III, Killzone 2 and Final Fantasy XIII in Japan.

And you're fooling yourself into thinking that any of those games can single handedly change the tide.  They are being beaten soundly again in the US and Other can't even come close to making up for it.  FF13 in Japan will be a blip compaired to it's release state side... if the game sells at a good clip on the 360 and PS3 it should easily pass any previous FF game up in first week sales.  Killzone 2 is being made by a second rate developer and God of War III isn't going to move to many systems(any more than Gears 2 will anyway).  GT5 will move some systems in Europe, but likely will not have much of an effect in the US.