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I noticed the prediction page was recently bumped on this matter and I started to look into the numbers with a particular interest in what progress the PS3 has made in catching up to the Xbox 360.

When looking over some of the predictions being made as well some of the comments I started to notice a pattern in which there seemed to be two entirely different views (not surprisingly).  However, in this case the numbers behind the predictions aren't as well documented or discussed as several other sales topics so I wanted to dig in and see what there was for support from the data.

Essentially the two views boil down like this (click to enlarge):

The PS3 Pessimist/360 Optimist sees things like this....

But the PS3 Optimist/360 Pessimist sees things more like this...

And finally a more neutral view...

 

So the question is simple, which view do you believe in/support, and why?

I have some pretty strong feelings about which is more meaningful, but I'll leave it open to discussion for the time being so I don't bias the discussion before it starts. 

Also if someone feels their view is not represented please feel free to make a graph of your own and share it with us (MSPaint Crayon-style graphs are fine~).

PS - Click here to enter a prediction.



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