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steven787 on 30 October 2008
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Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 236   Bush 281

Wyoming (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 29%
Bush: 65%
Nader: 2%
Source: American Res. Group-3 (Sep 11)
2000: Gore: 28.3%, Bush 69.2%, Nader 2.0%
Wisconsin (10 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 49%
Bush: 46%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 47.8%, Bush 47.6%
West Virginia (5 EVs)
Barely Bush
Kerry: 46%
Bush: 49%
Source: Zogby-6 (Oct 18)
2000: Gore: 45.6%, Bush 51.9%
Washington (11 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 50%
Bush: 45%
Source: Mason-Dixon-2 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 50.2%, Bush 44.6%
Virginia (13 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 44%
Bush: 50%
Source: Mason-Dixon-4 (Oct 25)
2000: Gore: 44.5%, Bush 52.5%
Vermont (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 53%
Bush: 40%
Nader: 3%
Source: Rsearch-3 (Oct 12)
2000: Gore: 50.7%, Bush 40.8%, Nader 6.9%
Vermont (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 53%
Bush: 40%
Nader: 3%
Source: Rsearch-3 (Oct 12)
2000: Gore: 50.7%, Bush 40.8%, Nader 6.9%
Utah (5 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 27%
Bush: 64%
Nader: 4%
Source: American Res. Group-4 (Sep 13)
2000: Gore: 26.5%, Bush 67.2%, Nader 4.7%
Texas (34 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 37%
Bush: 60%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 11)
2000: Gore: 38.0%, Bush 59.3%
Tennessee (11 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 41%
Bush: 53%
Nader: 1%
Source: Mason-Dixon-3 (Oct 21)
2000: Gore: 47.3%, Bush 51.2%, Nader 1.0%
South Dakota (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 33%
Bush: 55%
Nader: 2%
Source: McLaughlin (R)-4 (Oct 24)
2000: Gore: 37.6%, Bush 60.3%, Nader 0.0%
South Carolina (8 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 39%
Bush: 57%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 24)
2000: Gore: 40.9%, Bush 56.9%
Rhode Island (4 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 54%
Bush: 41%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 27)
2000: Gore: 61.0%, Bush 31.9%
Rhode Island (4 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 54%
Bush: 41%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 27)
2000: Gore: 61.0%, Bush 31.9%
Pennsylvania (21 EVs)
Tied
Kerry: 47%
Bush: 47%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 50.6%, Bush 46.4%
Oregon (7 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 50%
Bush: 45%
Source: Davis Hibbitts-3/American Res. Group-3/Survey USA-3 (Oct 27)
2000: Gore: 47.1%, Bush 46.6%
Oklahoma (7 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 28%
Bush: 61%
Source: Wilson Research (R)-3 (Oct 24)
2000: Gore: 38.4%, Bush 60.3%
Ohio (20 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 47%
Bush: 44%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 46.4%, Bush 50.0%
North Dakota (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 35%
Bush: 55%
Source: Minnesota State Univ.-2 (Oct 19)
2000: Gore: 33.1%, Bush 60.7%
North Carolina (15 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 43%
Bush: 52%
Source: Mason-Dixon-2 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 43.1%, Bush 56.0%
New York (31 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 54%
Bush: 38%
Source: Marist Coll.-2 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 60.2%, Bush 35.2%
New Mexico (5 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 43%
Bush: 49%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 47.8%
New Jersey (15 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 44%
Source: Strategic Vision (R)-3 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 56.1%, Bush 40.3%
New Jersey (15 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 44%
Source: Strategic Vision (R)-3 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 56.1%, Bush 40.3%
New Hampshire (4 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 50%
Bush: 46%
Source: Univ. of New Hampshire-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 46.9%, Bush 48.2%
New Hampshire (4 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 50%
Bush: 46%
Source: Univ. of New Hampshire-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 46.9%, Bush 48.2%
Nevada (5 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 50%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 46.2%, Bush 49.8%
Nebraska (5 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 32%
Bush: 61%
Source: RKM Research-6 (Oct 20)
2000: Gore: 33.2%, Bush 62.2%
Montana (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 36%
Bush: 57%
Nader: 1%
Source: Mason-Dixon-3 (Oct 20)
2000: Gore: 33.4%, Bush 58.4%, Nader 5.9%
Missouri (11 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 52%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 25)
2000: Gore: 47.1%, Bush 50.4%
Mississippi (6 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 42%
Bush: 51%
Nader: 1%
Source: American Res. Group-4 (Sep 17)
2000: Gore: 40.7%, Bush 57.6%, Nader 0.8%
Minnesota (10 EVs)
Barely Bush
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 46%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 45.5%
Michigan (17 EVs)
Barely Bush
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 47%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 51.3%, Bush 46.1%
Massachusetts (12 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 50%
Bush: 36%
Nader: 2%
Source: Merrimack Coll.-11 (Oct 5)
2000: Gore: 59.9%, Bush 32.5%, Nader 6.4%
Massachusetts (12 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 50%
Bush: 36%
Nader: 2%
Source: Merrimack Coll.-11 (Oct 5)
2000: Gore: 59.9%, Bush 32.5%, Nader 6.4%
Maryland (10 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 56%
Bush: 39%
Source: Ipsos-2 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 56.6%, Bush 40.2%
Maryland (10 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 56%
Bush: 39%
Source: Ipsos-2 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 56.6%, Bush 40.2%
Maine (4 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 50%
Bush: 39%
Source: Zogby-2 (Oct 21)
2000: Gore: 49.1%, Bush 44.0%
Louisiana (9 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 32%
Bush: 58%
Nader: 1%
Source: Southeastern La. Univ.-6 (Oct 22)
2000: Gore: 44.9%, Bush 52.6%, Nader 0.8%
Kentucky (8 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 39%
Bush: 56%
Nader: 1%
Source: Bluegrass Poll-3 (Oct 20)
2000: Gore: 41.3%, Bush 56.4%, Nader 1.5%
Kansas (6 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 37%
Bush: 60%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 27)
2000: Gore: 37.2%, Bush 58.0%
Iowa (7 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 44%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 48.6%, Bush 48.3%
Indiana (11 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 40%
Bush: 56%
Source: Research 2000-3 (Oct 24)
2000: Gore: 41.0%, Bush 56.6%
Illinois (21 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 53%
Bush: 41%
Source: Research 2000-3 (Oct 23)
2000: Gore: 54.6%, Bush 42.6%
Idaho (4 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 30%
Bush: 59%
Nader: 3%
Source: American Res. Group-3 (Sep 10)
2000: Gore: 27.6%, Bush 67.2%, Nader 2.5%
Hawaii (4 EVs)
Barely Bush
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 46%
Source: SMS Research-4 (Oct 20)
2000: Gore: 55.8%, Bush 37.5%
Georgia (15 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 40%
Bush: 57%
Nader: 1%
Source: Strategic Vision (R)-3 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 43.2%, Bush 55.0%, Nader 0.0%
Florida (27 EVs)
Barely Bush
Kerry: 47%
Bush: 48%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 48.8%, Bush 48.8%
D.C. (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 78%
Bush: 11%
Nader: 6%
Source: American Res. Group-3 (Sep 13)
2000: Gore: 85.7%, Bush 9.0%, Nader 5.3%
D.C. (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 78%
Bush: 11%
Nader: 6%
Source: American Res. Group-3 (Sep 13)
2000: Gore: 85.7%, Bush 9.0%, Nader 5.3%
Delaware (3 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 38%
Nader: 1%
Source: West Chester Univ.-4 (Sep 25)
2000: Gore: 55.0%, Bush 41.9%, Nader 2.5%
Delaware (3 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 38%
Nader: 1%
Source: West Chester Univ.-4 (Sep 25)
2000: Gore: 55.0%, Bush 41.9%, Nader 2.5%
Connecticut (7 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 47%
Bush: 38%
Nader: 4%
Source: Quinnipiac Univ.-3 (Sep 28)
2000: Gore: 55.9%, Bush 38.4%, Nader 4.4%
Connecticut (7 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 47%
Bush: 38%
Nader: 4%
Source: Quinnipiac Univ.-3 (Sep 28)
2000: Gore: 55.9%, Bush 38.4%, Nader 4.4%
Colorado (9 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 49%
Bush: 45%
Source: Zogby-4 (Oct 28)
2000: Gore: 42.4%, Bush 50.8%
California (55 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 53%
Bush: 44%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 24)
2000: Gore: 53.4%, Bush 41.7%
Arkansas (6 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 51%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 25)
2000: Gore: 45.9%, Bush 51.3%
Arizona (10 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 50%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Oct 26)
2000: Gore: 44.7%, Bush 51.0%
Alaska (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 30%
Bush: 57%
Nader: 5%
Source: American Res. Group-3 (Sep 11)
2000: Gore: 27.8%, Bush 58.8%, Nader 10.1%
Alabama (9 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 39%
Bush: 57%
Source: Survey USA-3 (Oct 27)
2000: Gore: 41.6%, Bush 56.5%
<img width="580" height="359" src="/evp2004/Pres/Pngs/Oct29.png" alt="electoral college map"> 		 
Data in Excel format
Battleground states
Polling data     Key
Previous report
Next report
News

 

Strong Kerry (88)
Weak Kerry (83)
Barely Kerry (65)
Exactly tied (21)
Barely Bush (63)
Weak Bush (71)
Strong Bush (147)
Needed to win: 270
Oct. 29 New polls: AL CO FL IA KS MD MI MN NV NH NM NY OH OR PA RI WI

 

Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 252   Bush 279

Wyoming (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 29.1%
Bush: 69.0%
Nader: 1.1%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 28.3%, Bush 69.2%, Nader 2.0%
Wisconsin (10 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 49.8%
Bush: 49.4%
Nader: 0.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 47.8%, Bush 47.6%, Nader 3.6%
West Virginia (5 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 43.2%
Bush: 56.1%
Nader: 0.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 45.6%, Bush 51.9%, Nader 1.6%
Washington (11 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 53.0%
Bush: 45.7%
Nader: 0.7%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 50.2%, Bush 44.6%, Nader 4.1%
Virginia (13 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 45.3%
Bush: 54.0%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 44.5%, Bush 52.5%
Vermont (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 59.1%
Bush: 38.9%
Nader: 1.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 50.7%, Bush 40.8%, Nader 6.9%
Vermont (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 59.1%
Bush: 38.9%
Nader: 1.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 50.7%, Bush 40.8%, Nader 6.9%
Utah (5 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 26.4%
Bush: 71.1%
Nader: 1.3%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 26.5%, Bush 67.2%, Nader 4.7%
Texas (34 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 38.3%
Bush: 61.2%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 38.0%, Bush 59.3%
Tennessee (11 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 42.5%
Bush: 56.8%
Nader: 0.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 47.3%, Bush 51.2%, Nader 1.0%
South Dakota (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 38.4%
Bush: 59.9%
Nader: 1.1%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 37.6%, Bush 60.3%, Nader 0.0%
South Carolina (8 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 40.8%
Bush: 58.0%
Nader: 0.3%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 40.9%, Bush 56.9%, Nader 1.5%
Rhode Island (4 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 59.5%
Bush: 38.9%
Nader: 1.0%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 61.0%, Bush 31.9%, Nader 6.1%
Rhode Island (4 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 59.5%
Bush: 38.9%
Nader: 1.0%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 61.0%, Bush 31.9%, Nader 6.1%
Pennsylvania (21 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 50.8%
Bush: 48.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 50.6%, Bush 46.4%
Oregon (7 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 51.5%
Bush: 47.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 47.1%, Bush 46.6%
Oklahoma (7 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 34.4%
Bush: 65.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 38.4%, Bush 60.3%
Ohio (20 EVs)
Barely Bush
Kerry: 48.5%
Bush: 51.0%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 46.4%, Bush 50.0%
North Dakota (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 35.5%
Bush: 62.9%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 33.1%, Bush 60.7%
North Carolina (15 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 43.5%
Bush: 56.1%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 43.1%, Bush 56.0%
New York (31 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 57.8%
Bush: 40.5%
Nader: 1.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 60.2%, Bush 35.2%, Nader 3.6%
New Mexico (5 EVs)
Barely Bush
Kerry: 48.9%
Bush: 50.0%
Nader: 0.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 47.8%, Nader 3.6%
New Jersey (15 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 52.7%
Bush: 46.5%
Nader: 0.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 56.1%, Bush 40.3%, Nader 3.0%
New Jersey (15 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 52.7%
Bush: 46.5%
Nader: 0.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 56.1%, Bush 40.3%, Nader 3.0%
New Hampshire (4 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 50.3%
Bush: 49.0%
Nader: 0.7%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 46.9%, Bush 48.2%, Nader 3.9%
New Hampshire (4 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 50.3%
Bush: 49.0%
Nader: 0.7%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 46.9%, Bush 48.2%, Nader 3.9%
Nevada (5 EVs)
Barely Bush
Kerry: 47.9%
Bush: 50.5%
Nader: 0.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 46.2%, Bush 49.8%, Nader 2.5%
Nebraska (5 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 32.1%
Bush: 66.6%
Nader: 0.7%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 33.2%, Bush 62.2%, Nader 3.5%
Montana (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 38.4%
Bush: 59.2%
Nader: 1.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 33.4%, Bush 58.4%, Nader 5.9%
Missouri (11 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 46.1%
Bush: 53.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 47.1%, Bush 50.4%
Mississippi (6 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 39.5%
Bush: 59.8%
Nader: 0.3%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 40.7%, Bush 57.6%, Nader 0.8%
Minnesota (10 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 51.1%
Bush: 47.6%
Nader: 0.7%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 45.5%, Nader 5.2%
Michigan (17 EVs)
Barely Kerry
Kerry: 51.2%
Bush: 47.8%
Nader: 0.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 51.3%, Bush 46.1%, Nader 2.0%
Massachusetts (12 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 62.1%
Bush: 37.0%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 59.9%, Bush 32.5%
Massachusetts (12 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 62.1%
Bush: 37.0%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 59.9%, Bush 32.5%
Maryland (10 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 55.7%
Bush: 43.3%
Nader: 0.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 56.6%, Bush 40.2%, Nader 2.7%
Maryland (10 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 55.7%
Bush: 43.3%
Nader: 0.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 56.6%, Bush 40.2%, Nader 2.7%
Maine (4 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 53.1%
Bush: 45.0%
Nader: 1.1%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 49.1%, Bush 44.0%, Nader 5.7%
Louisiana (9 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 42.2%
Bush: 56.8%
Nader: 0.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 44.9%, Bush 52.6%, Nader 0.8%
Kentucky (8 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 39.7%
Bush: 59.5%
Nader: 0.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 41.3%, Bush 56.4%, Nader 1.5%
Kansas (6 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 36.5%
Bush: 62.2%
Nader: 0.8%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 37.2%, Bush 58.0%, Nader 3.4%
Iowa (7 EVs)
No Data
Kerry: 49.2%
Bush: 50.1%
Nader: 0.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 48.6%, Bush 48.3%, Nader 2.2%
Indiana (11 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 39.2%
Bush: 60.1%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 41.0%, Bush 56.6%
Illinois (21 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 54.7%
Bush: 44.7%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 54.6%, Bush 42.6%
Idaho (4 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 30.4%
Bush: 68.5%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 27.6%, Bush 67.2%
Hawaii (4 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 54.0%
Bush: 45.3%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 55.8%, Bush 37.5%
Georgia (15 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 41.4%
Bush: 58.1%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 43.2%, Bush 55.0%
Florida (27 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 47.1%
Bush: 52.1%
Nader: 0.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 48.8%, Bush 48.8%, Nader 1.6%
D.C. (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 89.5%
Bush: 9.3%
Nader: 0.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 85.7%, Bush 9.0%, Nader 5.3%
D.C. (3 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 89.5%
Bush: 9.3%
Nader: 0.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 85.7%, Bush 9.0%, Nader 5.3%
Delaware (3 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 53.3%
Bush: 45.8%
Nader: 0.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 55.0%, Bush 41.9%, Nader 2.5%
Delaware (3 EVs)
Weak Kerry
Kerry: 53.3%
Bush: 45.8%
Nader: 0.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 55.0%, Bush 41.9%, Nader 2.5%
Connecticut (7 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 54.3%
Bush: 44.0%
Nader: 0.8%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 55.9%, Bush 38.4%, Nader 4.4%
Connecticut (7 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 54.3%
Bush: 44.0%
Nader: 0.8%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 55.9%, Bush 38.4%, Nader 4.4%
Colorado (9 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 46.3%
Bush: 52.5%
Nader: 0.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 42.4%, Bush 50.8%, Nader 5.3%
California (55 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 54.6%
Bush: 44.3%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 53.4%, Bush 41.7%
Arkansas (6 EVs)
Weak Bush
Kerry: 44.5%
Bush: 54.3%
Nader: 0.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 45.9%, Bush 51.3%, Nader 1.5%
Arizona (10 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 44.5%
Bush: 54.9%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 44.7%, Bush 51.0%
Alaska (3 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 35.0%
Bush: 61.9%
Nader: 1.6%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 27.8%, Bush 58.8%, Nader 10.1%
Alabama (9 EVs)
Strong Bush
Kerry: 36.8%
Bush: 62.5%
Nader: 0.4%
Source: ()
2000: Gore: 41.6%, Bush 56.5%, Nader 1.1%
<img width="580" height="359" src="/evp2004/Pres/Pngs/Nov04.png" alt="electoral college map"> 		 
Data in Excel format
Battleground states
Polling data     Key
Previous report
Next report
News

 

Strong Kerry (95)
Weak Kerry (105)
Barely Kerry (52)
Exactly tied (0)
Barely Bush (30)
Weak Bush (66)
Strong Bush (183)
Needed to win: 270
Nov. 4 Preliminary election results


I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.